3 Natural Risks
How big is the threat to humanity posed by asteroids and comets, supervolcanoes, stellar explosions, and other natural risks?
Scale
What natural existential risks are there?
How could they cause existential catastrophes & of what type?
How could natural x-risks make us more vulnerable to future x-risks?
Do you have examples of current or past natural catastrophes supporting other existential risks?
What is Toby Ord's opinion about natural x-risks being likely or unlikely in comparison to anthropogenic x-risks?
Solvability
What do you suggest could be cost-effective interventions to reduce the likelihood of a natural existential catastrophe?
What can we learn from natural x-risks to better deal with human-made x-risks?
How has 'X' improved or worsened our capacity to deal well with natural x-risks?
X e.g., globalization, technology, government forms, etc.
What does this imply for strategies to deal with x-risks?
Neglect
Should we further our investments into reducing natural x-risks or are these resources better invested else-where?
Should we remain open to not-yet-discovered natural x-risks or should we remain confident in having discovered the one's posing x-risk?
Is neglect justified in the cases of
risks that could become x-risk earliest in a thousand years such as natural evolution of humanity, sun brightening up, ice-age
risks that occur slowly radder than suddenly
risk that do not pose existential risk such as hurricanes, tsunamis
risk that are 'very unlikely' such as star disrupting planetary orbits, vacuum collapsing
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